Politics
Who will control the U.S. House and Senate in 2025?
Photo by Andy Feliciotti, via Unsplash.
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Who will control the U.S. House and Senate in 2023?
All politics & election analysis
by APM RESEARCH LAB STAFF | Nov. 4, 2024
In addition to the president’s office, 34 U.S. Senate seats and all 435 U.S. House seats are on the ballot this year. Going into the election the general consensus among election forecasters (for example 538, The Economist and Cook Political Report) is that Republicans have a good chance of flipping control of the Senate, but that the presidency and the House are too close to call. Thus, the 2024 election will likely usher in either a Republican trifecta for the fourth time in this century, or a newly-reshuffled divided federal government.
U.S. Senate
The 34 seats up for election this year include 19 held by Democrats, four held by Democratic-leaning independents, and 11 held by Republicans. According to Ballotpedia, twenty-six of the races include incumbents who are trying to hold on to their seats, and eight are open seats.
Note: Click here for graphic of election outcomes 2000-2022.
Prior to the election, there were more Republicans (49) than Democrats (47) in the U.S. Senate. But Democrats held majority control since three independent senators — Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Angus King of Maine and Joe Manchin of West Virginia — caucused with the Democrats. A fourth independent, out-going Sen. Krysten Sinema, was elected as a Democrat before breaking away in late 2022.
Democratic Sen. Charles Schumer is the majority leader and Sen. Mitch McConnell is the Republican leader.
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U.S. House of Representatives
As is the case every two years, all 435 House seats are on the ballot. Republicans currently have majority control of the U.S. House, holding 220 of the body’s 435 seats. Democrats hold 212 seats and three seats are currently vacant. Incumbents are running to retain their seats in most House districts, but Ballotpedia lists 49 seats as open elections.
Republican Rep. Mike Johnson of Louisiana is the current House Speaker, and Rep. Hakeem Jeffries is the Democratic Leader.
Note: Click here for a graphic of U.S. House election outcomes 2000-2022.
Prior to the 2022 election, the House was controlled by Democrats, who held an eight-seat margin among the 433 currently filled voting seats (two seats were vacant).